Tim A wrote: ↑Tue Sep 20, 2022 6:02 am
What rubs some (myself included) the wrong way is the pointless what-ifs by folks who were not present, or the absurd questions like the loaded ‘was he wearing a helmet?’ or ‘was he off-route?’ These types of questions come from the same macabre place in our brains that cause us to slow down when driving past traffic accidents to look at the carnage while divorcing ourselves from the possibility of it ever happening to us.
I think it's an over-generalization to assume that speculation must come from a place of voyeurism, and it makes sense to me that people would react poorly to being the subject of - forgive me -
speculation about their motivations and their conclusions, even (or especially) in cases where you're spot-on.
My first 14er attempt was on Longs with a very experienced mentor. When we approached the section of the Ledges with the rebar hold he pointed out that a teenager had recently passed away after falling from that spot as his father looked on. I asked him how that could have happened, all I could imagine was that the moves were too technical for him (I thought they were pretty technical at the time although objectively they're extremely simple in normal conditions). He said he didn't know, but speculated that it might have been on the descent if he was dealing with unexpected fatigue or altitude sickness. Or it could have been due to nerves, or due to cavalier inattentiveness, or perhaps rain had made the polished rock very slick. Pure speculation, and my mentor was using it as a teaching tool. Not to assure me that something like that would never happen to me; but to highlight that it could happen to me, and to process through some ways that it could. You can bet I took all of these possibilities to heart and regarded the gravity of the adventure I was on. I returned to Longs a half dozen times, and these reflections informed my decisions about who to bring, when to start, how far to go, when to turn back.
I attempted Lightning Pyramid for the first time a couple of months ago. I hadn't engaged in or read any online speculation about Steve G. But from my armchair, I absolutely did speculate privately about what mistakes or misfortunes could have caused his accident - what could possibly have gone wrong. I won't enumerate those thoughts since I do want to respect Steve's wishes. But when I approached the climb, these possibilities were at the front of my mind, as well as the knowledge that someone very capable and experienced had met his match here for reasons that might not be on my list. I unexpectedly wound up attempting the harder bits solo. I had trouble with route finding, and the lack of snow meant loose rock was abundant with no alternatives. I turned back pretty early even though I might have been able to go on to summit.
Private, uninformed speculation helped to inform that good decision.
Perhaps some folks never benefit from speculation and they unwisely do it anyway. Perhaps some know they'd never benefit from speculation so they wisely avoid it. For others I think it would be better to describe their thought process as rumination rather than speculation. I just want to illustrate some possible motivations for the latter group that aren't voyeuristic and foolish; at worst they're well-meaning, at best profitable.
If one can't believe the best in people, it's nice to at least assume the best, and if one can't assume the best in people it's nice to at least hope for the best.