Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

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Rollie Free
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by Rollie Free »

timisimaginary wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 10:45 am
ultimategully wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 10:34 am
peter303 wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:38 am
My condolences forbthis terrible tragedy.

To put numbers in perspective:
In 2020 seven 14er fatalities for 415,000 summits (CFI). Thats 1 in 60,000.
USA covid deaths were 1 per 500. More than a hundred times worse.
I knew 2 friend of friends who perished on 14ers over several decades.
I personally knew 5 who died of covid.
One of these I feel much safer- climbing 14ers.
I don't mean to be insensitive (sorry for your losses) but what alternate reality are you living in where US covid deaths are 1 out of every 500?
the reality where 618,000 people out of a population of approximately 300 million have died of COVID. that's about 1 out of 500.
Nothing is that cut and dried, especially in these highly politicized times. Only in 6 percent of cases is Covid stated as THE cause of death. The rest are co-morbitities. Given the absolute vanishing of influenza reporting I would be cynical of even that.
"Quicker than I can tell it, my hands failed to hold, my feet slipped, and down I went with almost an arrow’s rapidity. An eternity of thought, of life, of death, wife, and home concentrated on my mind in those two seconds. Fortunately for me, I threw my right arm around a projecting boulder which stood above the icy plain some two or three feet." Rev. Elijah Lamb
constipated_pete
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by constipated_pete »

Rollie Free wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:20 am
timisimaginary wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 10:45 am
ultimategully wrote: Wed Aug 11, 2021 10:34 am

I don't mean to be insensitive (sorry for your losses) but what alternate reality are you living in where US covid deaths are 1 out of every 500?
the reality where 618,000 people out of a population of approximately 300 million have died of COVID. that's about 1 out of 500.
Nothing is that cut and dried, especially in these highly politicized times. Only in 6 percent of cases is Covid stated as THE cause of death. The rest are co-morbitities. Given the absolute vanishing of influenza reporting I would be cynical of even that.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm
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catfish hank
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by catfish hank »

Only in 6 percent of cases is Covid stated as THE cause of death. The rest are co-morbitities
Love to see where you got that data. Please cite peer guided literature or medical group that makes this claim.
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by HikesInGeologicTime »

susanjoypaul wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 8:52 am
Ugh, this is awful. If anyone knows of a Go Fund Me page or other site for collecting donations to help with this woman's medical bills, please post it here.
This is awful, but I am really glad she’s on the (long, painful, frustrating) way to recovery - I wasn’t full of high hopes after reading that she needed to be flown all the way out to Denver after her fall when Aspen has such a great hospital.

I’d also be interested to know if any donations pages pop up. I’m in a similar position of being in the midst of a months-long recovery from a fall (in Capitol’s neighborhood, no less), and while I’m lucky that my insurance is picking up the tab for everything, not everyone can say the same.
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Rollie Free
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by Rollie Free »

catfish hank wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:56 am
Only in 6 percent of cases is Covid stated as THE cause of death. The rest are co-morbitities
Love to see where you got that data. Please cite peer guided literature or medical group that makes this claim.
Per the CDC.
Although many interested parties are trying to dispel it. I've been through the process of the death certificate. Obviously, they don't do autopsies often so its left to the discretion of the physician who signs it.
They are going off a best guess based on medical history. Its a lot messier fact wise than a lot of people imagine it to be.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/health_po ... 20-508.pdf
"Quicker than I can tell it, my hands failed to hold, my feet slipped, and down I went with almost an arrow’s rapidity. An eternity of thought, of life, of death, wife, and home concentrated on my mind in those two seconds. Fortunately for me, I threw my right arm around a projecting boulder which stood above the icy plain some two or three feet." Rev. Elijah Lamb
TomPierce
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by TomPierce »

Rollie Free wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:03 am
catfish hank wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:56 am
Only in 6 percent of cases is Covid stated as THE cause of death. The rest are co-morbitities
Love to see where you got that data. Please cite peer guided literature or medical group that makes this claim.
Per the CDC.
Although many interested parties are trying to dispel it. I've been through the process of the death certificate. Obviously, they don't do autopsies often so its left to the discretion of the physician who signs it.
They are going off a best guess based on medical history. Its a lot messier fact wise than a lot of people imagine it to be.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/health_po ... 20-508.pdf
This is obviously off topic, but the issue of Covid reporting is of interest to me. Some claim the death rate is inflated, others speculate the contrary. I'm not a physician, but I am a regulated professional (attorney). I mention that because if anyone thinks a doctor will wilfully misstate a cause of death, they need to understand that such a doctor does so at the risk of losing his/her medical license. You can't just make it up one way or another, doing so is at peril of losing the ability to practice, an incredibly heavy penalty. Mistakes no doubt happen, but deliberate misstatements? Eh, doubt it. Fwiw, I thought the attached article laid out some of the uncertainty that Rollie mentions:

https://coloradosun.com/2020/05/15/colo ... rtificate/

-Tom

OK, back on topic!
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Trotter
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by Trotter »

Rollie Free wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:03 am
catfish hank wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:56 am
Only in 6 percent of cases is Covid stated as THE cause of death. The rest are co-morbitities
Love to see where you got that data. Please cite peer guided literature or medical group that makes this claim.
Per the CDC.
Although many interested parties are trying to dispel it. I've been through the process of the death certificate. Obviously, they don't do autopsies often so its left to the discretion of the physician who signs it.
They are going off a best guess based on medical history. Its a lot messier fact wise than a lot of people imagine it to be.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/health_po ... 20-508.pdf
That is interesting. But it doesn't mean that only 6% of them died of covid. It just means your typical person has a lot of health conditions at any time. Especially true for old people. The vast majority of elderly people have several of these listed conditions but aren't dying from them, if properly treated. But it still has to be listed in this report.

No different if then your grandpa died of covid and he happens to have arthritis. His death certificate could still list his arthritis as an "All other conditions". And according to your logic of using this table, that means he didn't die of covid (as one of the 6%). But I think you'd agree it wasn't the arthritis that killed him. It was covid.

Also notice that the vast majority of "All other conditions and causes" are things like: pneumonia, Adult respiratory distress syndrome, Respiratory failure unspecified, Acute respiratory failure, asphyxia. Covid attacks the respiratory system. So its pretty likely those conditions are probably covid related.
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by timisimaginary »

i'm really sorry for contributing to this thread devolving into another covid argument. time to lock this down, delete some posts, and get back to the original topic of focus here.
"The decay and disintegration of this culture is astonishingly amusing if you're emotionally detached from it." - George Carlin
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Rollie Free
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Re: Missing Hiker Capitol Peak 7/31

Post by Rollie Free »

Trotter wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 3:11 pm
Rollie Free wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:03 am
catfish hank wrote: Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:56 am

Love to see where you got that data. Please cite peer guided literature or medical group that makes this claim.
Per the CDC.
Although many interested parties are trying to dispel it. I've been through the process of the death certificate. Obviously, they don't do autopsies often so its left to the discretion of the physician who signs it.
They are going off a best guess based on medical history. Its a lot messier fact wise than a lot of people imagine it to be.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/health_po ... 20-508.pdf
That is interesting. But it doesn't mean that only 6% of them died of covid. It just means your typical person has a lot of health conditions at any time. Especially true for old people. The vast majority of elderly people have several of these listed conditions but aren't dying from them, if properly treated. But it still has to be listed in this report.

No different if then your grandpa died of covid and he happens to have arthritis. His death certificate could still list his arthritis as an "All other conditions". And according to your logic of using this table, that means he didn't die of covid (as one of the 6%). But I think you'd agree it wasn't the arthritis that killed him. It was covid.

Also notice that the vast majority of "All other conditions and causes" are things like: pneumonia, Adult respiratory distress syndrome, Respiratory failure unspecified, Acute respiratory failure, asphyxia. Covid attacks the respiratory system. So its pretty likely those conditions are probably covid related.
I just related what the CDC reported. It isn't my 'logic. Frankly my cynicism is directed towards pretty much anything I read anymore.
"Quicker than I can tell it, my hands failed to hold, my feet slipped, and down I went with almost an arrow’s rapidity. An eternity of thought, of life, of death, wife, and home concentrated on my mind in those two seconds. Fortunately for me, I threw my right arm around a projecting boulder which stood above the icy plain some two or three feet." Rev. Elijah Lamb